Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev
5–9
head to head
Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic
── the model's take · model grid · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Novak Djokovic 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexander Zverev
Novak Djokovic
44%56%
Hard: 40% / 60%
Clay: 54% / 46%
Grass: 11% / 89%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Novak Djokovic
99th · elite
Return
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#4
model rank
#3
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
SRB
198cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Alexander Zverev■ Novak Djokovic
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–2
Hard4–7
── 14 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosClayQFNovak Djokovic4-6 6-3 6-2 6-4
2025-01-13Australian OpenHardSFAlexander Zverev7-6(5) 0-0 RET
2023-08-14Cincinnati MastersHardSFNovak Djokovic7-6(5) 7-5
2021-11-15Tour FinalsHardSFAlexander Zverev7-6(4) 4-6 6-3
2021-08-30Us OpenHardSFNovak Djokovic4-6 6-2 6-4 4-6 6-2
2021-07-24Tokyo OlympicsHardSFAlexander Zverev1-6 6-3 6-1
2021-02-08Australian OpenHardQFNovak Djokovic6-7(6) 6-2 6-4 7-6(6)
2021-02-02Atp CupHardRRNovak Djokovic6-7(3) 6-2 7-5
2020-11-16Tour FinalsHardRRNovak Djokovic6-3 7-6(4)
2019-05-27Roland GarrosClayQFNovak Djokovic7-5 6-2 6-2
2018-11-12Tour FinalsHardFAlexander Zverev6-4 6-3
2018-11-12Tour FinalsHardRRNovak Djokovic6-4 6-1
2018-10-08Shanghai MastersHardSFNovak Djokovic6-2 6-1
2017-05-15Rome MastersClayFAlexander Zverev6-4 6-3