~/tennis.computer $
tennis.computer
A tennis model with opinions — surface-aware ratings that disagree with the rankings on purpose, every pre-match call locked and graded in public.
the model's read
as of 2026-10-09
as of 2026-10-09
── the model's world ranking
Who's actually best
- 1Jannik SinnerATP #1≈ ATP
- 2Carlos AlcarazATP #3≈ ATP
- 3Novak DjokovicATP #5≈ ATP
- 4Alexander ZverevATP #2≈ ATP
- 5Ben SheltonATP #9▲ 4
- 6Arthur FilsATP #11▲ 5
- 7Rafael JodarATP #13▲ 6
- 8Daniil MedvedevATP #8≈ ATP
▲ the model rates them above their ATP ranking · ▼ below it. Full rankings →
── where we disagree with the ATP
Hot takes
underrated
- Eliot Spizzirri▲ 65model #47 · ATP #112
- Titouan Droguet▲ 62model #41 · ATP #103
- Roman Safiullin▲ 57model #42 · ATP #99
- Sebastian Korda▲ 54model #14 · ATP #68
the model is cool on
- Martin Landaluce▼ 69model #134 · ATP #65
- Sho Shimabukuro▼ 67model #155 · ATP #88
- model #132 · ATP #77
- Daniel Altmaier▼ 52model #109 · ATP #57
── marquee matchup · hard
Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz
The model's pick in a headline clash — and you can run any two players you like.
73%
Jannik Sinner
27%
Carlos Alcaraz
Full head-to-head →
the feed · the model's latest reads
All insights →Mover · 2026-06-07
+128
Matteo Arnaldi is the tour's biggest riser — up 128 Elo in eight weeks
Elo gained · 8 weeks
tennis.computer
Model read · 2026-06-07
+82 Elo
The model's clear No. 1: Sinner leads Alcaraz by 82 Elo
Sinner's Elo lead over Alcaraz
tennis.computer
Mover · 2026-06-07
2192
Rafael Jodar already carries a near-elite rating off just 34 tour matches
Elo · 34 tour matches
tennis.computer
Story · 2026-06-07
4
Four players have gained 100+ Elo in eight weeks
players +100 Elo in 8 weeks
tennis.computer
Discovery · 2026-06-07
Clay still lifts Tsitsipas most — the model rates him 142 Elo higher on the dirt
tennis.computer
Discovery · 2026-06-07
The model and the rankings disagree most about Gaël Monfils — 145 places apart
tennis.computer
Every percentage is scored against what actually happened — 0.593 log-loss vs the betting market's 0.575, calibration error 0.007. That's why the opinions are worth reading.