The record
Every call the model makes on a scheduled match is locked before play and graded in public once the result lands. Rows are append-only — nothing is rewritten, nothing is quietly dropped. Voids and retirements are disclosed, not hidden.
live record · results-only v0
model elo-sr-ens-1.0
—
log-loss · coin-flip = 0.6931
0
calls scored
37
awaiting results
no graded outcomes yet
backtest · held-out walk-forward (separate series, never blended with live)
0.5926
log-loss
0.0073
calibration error
33,077
matches scored
as of 2026-10-09 · 5 snapshot(s)
The backtest proves the method on history it never trained on; the live record above proves it forward, one locked call at a time. How the model works →