── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Zverev 93% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexander Zverev
Roberto Bautista Agut
93%7%
Hard: 92% / 8%
Clay: 93% / 7%
Grass: 57% / 43%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Roberto Bautista Agut
34th · below avg
Return
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Roberto Bautista Agut
72th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#4
model rank
#122
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
ESP
198cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alexander ZverevRoberto Bautista Agut
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay31
Hard21
Grass10
── 8 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-04-23Madrid MastersClayR64Alexander Zverev6-2 6-2
2023-04-10Monte Carlo MastersClayR32Alexander Zverev6-4 6-4
2018-10-22BaselHardQFAlexander Zverev7-5 6-3
2018-10-01BeijingHardR32Alexander Zverev6-4 6-4
2017-06-19HalleGrassQFAlexander Zverev6-7(6) 7-6(1) 6-1
2017-05-01MunichClaySFAlexander Zverev7-5 7-5
2015-02-09RotterdamHardR32Roberto Bautista Agut6-4 6-1
2013-07-15HamburgClayR64Roberto Bautista Agut6-3 6-2