── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Zverev 89% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Zverev
Marin Cilic
89%11%
Hard: 85% / 15%
Clay: 93% / 7%
Grass: 36% / 64%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Marin Cilic
81th · strong
Return
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Marin Cilic
47th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#4
model rank
#70
Clay
best surface
Grass
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
CRO
198cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Zverev■ Marin Cilic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard5–1
Clay3–0
── 9 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R32 | Alexander Zverev | 6-2 5-7 6-4 |
| 2022-05-02 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R32 | Alexander Zverev | 4-6 6-4 6-4 |
| 2018-11-12 | Tour Finals | Hard | RR | Alexander Zverev | 7-6(5) 7-6(1) |
| 2018-05-14 | Rome Masters | Clay | SF | Alexander Zverev | 7-6(13) 7-5 |
| 2017-11-13 | Tour Finals | Hard | RR | Alexander Zverev | 6-4 3-6 6-4 |
| 2017-05-08 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R32 | Alexander Zverev | 6-7(3) 6-3 6-4 |
| 2016-10-10 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R32 | Alexander Zverev | 3-6 6-3 6-2 |
| 2016-02-01 | Montpellier | Hard | R16 | Alexander Zverev | 7-6(4) 7-6(1) |
| 2015-08-03 | Washington | Hard | QF | Marin Cilic | 7-5 7-6(3) |