── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Zverev 92% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexander Zverev
Marcos Giron
92%8%
Hard: 90% / 10%
Clay: 96% / 4%
Grass: 80% / 20%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Marcos Giron
53th · average
Return
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Marcos Giron
57th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#4
model rank
#107
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
USA
198cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Alexander Zverev■ Marcos Giron
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass3–0
Hard2–0
── 5 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-04WimbledonGrassR32Alexander Zverev6-2 7-6(4) 6-4
2025-06-16HalleGrassR32Alexander Zverev6-2 6-1
2024-10-21ViennaHardR16Alexander Zverev6-2 7-5
2024-07-01WimbledonGrassR64Alexander Zverev6-2 6-1 6-4
2021-02-08Australian OpenHardR128Alexander Zverev6-7(8) 7-6(5) 6-3 6-2