── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Zverev 91% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Zverev
Cristian Garin
91%9%
Hard: 95% / 5%
Clay: 88% / 12%
Grass: 67% / 33%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Cristian Garin
31th · below avg
Return
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Cristian Garin
72th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#4
model rank
#99
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
CHI
198cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Zverev■ Cristian Garin
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–2
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R32 | Alexander Zverev | 4-6 6-4 7-5 |
| 2024-04-15 | Munich | Clay | QF | Cristian Garin | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2022-05-09 | Rome Masters | Clay | QF | Alexander Zverev | 7-5 6-2 |
| 2019-04-29 | Munich | Clay | QF | Cristian Garin | 6-4 5-7 7-5 |