── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Zverev 90% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Zverev
Jordan Thompson
90%10%
Hard: 87% / 13%
Clay: 98% / 2%
Grass: 64% / 36%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Jordan Thompson
58th · average
Return
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Jordan Thompson
64th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#4
model rank
#80
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
AUS
198cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Zverev■ Jordan Thompson
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–2
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-19 | Miami Masters | Hard | R32 | Alexander Zverev | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2024-08-05 | Canada Masters | Hard | R32 | Alexander Zverev | 6-1 6-1 |
| 2024-02-19 | Los Cabos | Hard | SF | Jordan Thompson | 7-5 4-6 7-6(2) |
| 2023-10-16 | Tokyo | Hard | R32 | Jordan Thompson | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2017-07-31 | Washington | Hard | R32 | Alexander Zverev | 4-6 6-3 7-6(5) |