── the model's take · model grid · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Zverev 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexander Zverev
Taylor Fritz
70%30%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 87% / 13%
Grass: 47% / 53%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Taylor Fritz
98th · elite
Return
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Taylor Fritz
82th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#4
model rank
#9
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
USA
198cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Alexander Zverev■ Taylor Fritz
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass3–3
Hard2–7
Clay1–0
── 16 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-08WimbledonGrassQFAlexander Zverev6-4 6-4 6-2
2026-06-20HalleGrassSFTaylor Fritz6-7(4) 6-4 7-5
2025-09-19Laver CupHardRRTaylor Fritz6-3 7-6(4)
2025-06-09StuttgartGrassFTaylor Fritz6-3 7-6(0)
2024-11-11Tour FinalsHardSFTaylor Fritz6-3 3-6 7-6(3)
2024-09-20Laver CupHardRRTaylor Fritz6-4 7-5
2024-08-26Us OpenHardQFTaylor Fritz7-6(2) 3-6 6-4 7-6(3)
2024-07-01WimbledonGrassR16Taylor Fritz4-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3) 6-3
2024-05-06Rome MastersClayQFAlexander Zverev6-4 6-3
2023-01-02United CupHardRRTaylor Fritz6-1 6-4
2022-01-03Atp CupHardRRAlexander Zverev6-4 6-4
2021-10-04Indian Wells MastersHardQFTaylor Fritz4-6 6-3 7-6(3)
2021-06-28WimbledonGrassR32Alexander Zverev6-7(3) 6-4 6-3 7-6(4)
2019-10-21BaselHardR32Taylor Fritz7-6(7) 6-4
2018-07-02WimbledonGrassR64Alexander Zverev6-4 5-7 6-7(0) 6-1 6-2
2016-07-18WashingtonHardR32Alexander Zverev6-4 6-2