── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Zverev 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Zverev
Tommy Paul
76%24%
Hard: 76% / 24%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 61% / 39%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Tommy Paul
81th · strong
Return
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Tommy Paul
94th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#4
model rank
#16
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
USA
198cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Zverev■ Tommy Paul
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–3
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R16 | Tommy Paul | 4-6 7-6(6) 6-4 |
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | Hard | QF | Alexander Zverev | 7-6(1) 7-6(0) 2-6 6-1 |
| 2022-03-07 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R64 | Tommy Paul | 6-2 4-6 7-6(2) |
| 2020-02-24 | Acapulco | Hard | R16 | Tommy Paul | 6-3 6-4 |