── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Zverev 81% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Zverev
Frances Tiafoe
81%19%
Hard: 78% / 22%
Clay: 85% / 15%
Grass: 69% / 31%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Frances Tiafoe
70th · strong
Return
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Frances Tiafoe
68th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#4
model rank
#31
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
USA
198cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Zverev■ Frances Tiafoe
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard7–1
Clay1–0
Grass1–0
── 10 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R16 | Alexander Zverev | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2024-09-20 | Laver Cup | Hard | RR | Alexander Zverev | 6-7(5) 7-5 [10-5] |
| 2023-05-29 | Roland Garros | Clay | R32 | Alexander Zverev | 3-6 7-6(3) 6-1 7-6(5) |
| 2021-10-25 | Vienna | Hard | F | Alexander Zverev | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2019-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | R32 | Alexander Zverev | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2019-08-26 | US Open | Hard | R64 | Alexander Zverev | 6-3 3-6 6-2 2-6 6-3 |
| 2018-10-29 | Paris Masters | Hard | R32 | Alexander Zverev | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2017-08-14 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R32 | Frances Tiafoe | 4-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2017-07-03 | Wimbledon | Grass | R64 | Alexander Zverev | 6-3 6-4 6-3 |
| 2017-01-16 | Australian Open | Hard | R64 | Alexander Zverev | 6-2 6-3 6-4 |

