── the model's take · model grid · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Zverev 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexander Zverev
Frances Tiafoe
73%27%
Hard: 72% / 28%
Clay: 85% / 15%
Grass: 66% / 34%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Frances Tiafoe
77th · strong
Return
Alexander Zverev
92th · elite
Frances Tiafoe
80th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#3
model rank
#12
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
USA
198cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Alexander Zverev■ Frances Tiafoe
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard7–1
Clay1–0
Grass1–0
── 10 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersHardR16Alexander Zverev6-3 6-4
2024-09-20Laver CupHardRRAlexander Zverev6-7(5) 7-5 [10-5]
2023-05-29Roland GarrosClayR32Alexander Zverev3-6 7-6(3) 6-1 7-6(5)
2021-10-25ViennaHardFAlexander Zverev7-5 6-4
2019-09-30BeijingHardR32Alexander Zverev6-3 6-2
2019-08-26US OpenHardR64Alexander Zverev6-3 3-6 6-2 2-6 6-3
2018-10-29Paris MastersHardR32Alexander Zverev6-4 6-4
2017-08-14Cincinnati MastersHardR32Frances Tiafoe4-6 6-3 6-4
2017-07-03WimbledonGrassR64Alexander Zverev6-3 6-4 6-3
2017-01-16Australian OpenHardR64Alexander Zverev6-2 6-3 6-4