── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Zverev 85% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexander Zverev
Alejandro Tabilo
85%15%
Hard: 83% / 17%
Clay: 83% / 17%
Grass: 90% / 10%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Return
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Alejandro Tabilo
58th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#4
model rank
#38
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
GER
country
CHI
198cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Alexander Zverev■ Alejandro Tabilo
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard2–0
Clay1–0
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-09-05US OpenHardR32Alexander Zverev6-2 7-6(2) 6-2
2025-08-25Us OpenHardR128Alexander Zverev6-2 7-6(4) 6-4
2024-05-06Rome MastersClaySFAlexander Zverev1-6 7-6(4) 6-2