── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Zverev 83% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Zverev
Matteo Berrettini
83%17%
Hard: 81% / 19%
Clay: 80% / 20%
Grass: 34% / 66%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Matteo Berrettini
93th · elite
Return
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Matteo Berrettini
37th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#4
model rank
#38
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
ITA
198cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Zverev■ Matteo Berrettini
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–0
Clay2–2
Grass0–1
── 8 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R64 | Alexander Zverev | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025-04-07 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R32 | Matteo Berrettini | 2-6 6-3 7-5 |
| 2023-07-03 | Wimbledon | Grass | R32 | Matteo Berrettini | 6-3 7-6(4) 7-6(5) |
| 2021-11-15 | Tour Finals | Hard | RR | Alexander Zverev | 7-6(7) 1-0 RET |
| 2021-05-03 | Madrid Masters | Clay | F | Alexander Zverev | 6-7(8) 6-4 6-3 |
| 2019-10-07 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | SF | Alexander Zverev | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2019-05-13 | Rome Masters | Clay | R32 | Matteo Berrettini | 7-5 7-5 |
| 2018-05-14 | Rome Masters | Clay | R32 | Alexander Zverev | 7-5 6-2 |

