── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Zverev 90% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Zverev
Lorenzo Sonego
90%10%
Hard: 85% / 15%
Clay: 95% / 5%
Grass: 65% / 35%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Lorenzo Sonego
69th · average
Return
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Lorenzo Sonego
40th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#4
model rank
#87
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
ITA
198cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Zverev■ Lorenzo Sonego
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–0
Grass2–0
Clay1–0
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-25 | Beijing | Hard | R32 | Alexander Zverev | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2025-06-16 | Halle | Grass | R16 | Alexander Zverev | 3-6 6-4 7-6(2) |
| 2024-06-17 | Halle | Grass | R16 | Alexander Zverev | 6-4 7-6(5) |
| 2024-01-01 | United Cup | Hard | RR | Alexander Zverev | 6-7(5) 6-3 6-4 |
| 2023-02-27 | Dubai | Hard | QF | Alexander Zverev | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2021-04-12 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R32 | Alexander Zverev | 6-3 6-3 |