── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Zverev 86% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexander Zverev
Tallon Griekspoor
86%14%
Hard: 81% / 19%
Clay: 90% / 10%
Grass: 58% / 42%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Tallon Griekspoor
84th · strong
Return
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Tallon Griekspoor
29th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#4
model rank
#52
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
NED
198cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alexander ZverevTallon Griekspoor
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard62
Clay30
Grass10
── 12 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-05United CupHardRRAlexander Zverev7-5 6-0
2025-10-20ViennaHardQFAlexander ZverevW/O
2025-05-26Roland GarrosClayR16Alexander Zverev6-4 3-0 RET
2025-04-14MunichClayQFAlexander Zverev6-7(6) 7-6(3) 6-4
2025-03-05Indian Wells MastersHardR64Tallon Griekspoor4-6 7-6(5) 7-6(4)
2024-10-28Paris MastersHardR32Alexander Zverev7-6(2) 6-3
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersHardR32Alexander Zverev7-6(6) 2-6 7-6(5)
2024-05-27Roland GarrosClayR32Alexander Zverev3-6 6-4 6-2 4-6 7-6(3)
2024-03-04Indian Wells MastersHardR32Alexander Zverev7-6(7) 6-3
2023-08-07Canada MastersHardR64Alexander Zverev6-4 7-6(3)
2023-02-13RotterdamHardR16Tallon Griekspoor4-6 6-3 6-4
2021-06-28WimbledonGrassR128Alexander Zverev6-3 6-4 6-1