── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Zverev 87% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexander Zverev
Corentin Moutet
87%13%
Hard: 84% / 16%
Clay: 91% / 9%
Grass: 66% / 34%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Corentin Moutet
29th · below avg
Return
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Corentin Moutet
93th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#4
model rank
#57
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
GER
country
FRA
198cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alexander ZverevCorentin Moutet
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
Grass10
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-23AcapulcoHardR32Alexander Zverev6-2 6-4
2025-09-25BeijingHardR16Alexander Zverev7-5 3-6 6-3
2025-06-09StuttgartGrassR16Alexander Zverev6-2 7-6(7)