── the model's take · model grid · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Zverev 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexander Zverev
Felix Auger Aliassime
67%33%
Hard: 64% / 36%
Clay: 80% / 20%
Grass: 61% / 39%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Return
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Felix Auger Aliassime
81th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#4
model rank
#9
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
CAN
198cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alexander ZverevFelix Auger Aliassime
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard43
Clay20
Grass01
── 10 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-11-09Tour FinalsHardRRFelix Auger Aliassime6-4 7-6(4)
2025-08-25Us OpenHardR32Felix Auger Aliassime4-6 7-6(7) 6-4 6-4
2024-03-18Miami MastersHardR64Alexander Zverev6-2 6-4
2022-05-02Madrid MastersClayQFAlexander Zverev6-3 7-5
2022-01-03Atp CupHardRRFelix Auger Aliassime6-4 4-6 6-3
2021-10-25ViennaHardQFAlexander Zverev6-4 3-6 6-3
2021-06-28WimbledonGrassR16Felix Auger Aliassime6-4 7-6(6) 3-6 3-6 6-4
2020-10-12Cologne 1HardFAlexander Zverev6-3 6-3
2019-09-30BeijingHardR16Alexander Zverev6-3 6-1
2019-04-15Monte Carlo MastersClayR32Alexander Zverev6-1 6-4