── the model's take · model grid · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Zverev 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Zverev
Felix Auger Aliassime
67%33%
Hard: 64% / 36%
Clay: 80% / 20%
Grass: 61% / 39%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Return
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Felix Auger Aliassime
81th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#4
model rank
#9
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
CAN
198cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Zverev■ Felix Auger Aliassime
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard4–3
Clay2–0
Grass0–1
── 10 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | Tour Finals | Hard | RR | Felix Auger Aliassime | 6-4 7-6(4) |
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R32 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 4-6 7-6(7) 6-4 6-4 |
| 2024-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R64 | Alexander Zverev | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2022-05-02 | Madrid Masters | Clay | QF | Alexander Zverev | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2022-01-03 | Atp Cup | Hard | RR | Felix Auger Aliassime | 6-4 4-6 6-3 |
| 2021-10-25 | Vienna | Hard | QF | Alexander Zverev | 6-4 3-6 6-3 |
| 2021-06-28 | Wimbledon | Grass | R16 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 6-4 7-6(6) 3-6 3-6 6-4 |
| 2020-10-12 | Cologne 1 | Hard | F | Alexander Zverev | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2019-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | R16 | Alexander Zverev | 6-3 6-1 |
| 2019-04-15 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R32 | Alexander Zverev | 6-1 6-4 |

