── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Zverev 94% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexander Zverev
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
94%6%
Hard: 96% / 4%
Clay: 88% / 12%
Grass: 98% / 2%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
18th · poor
Return
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
37th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#4
model rank
#132
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
ARG
198cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Alexander Zverev■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-27Paris MastersHardR32Alexander Zverev6-7(5) 6-1 7-5
2025-05-07Rome MastersClayR64Alexander Zverev6-2 6-1