── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Zverev 90% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Zverev
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
90%10%
Hard: 95% / 5%
Clay: 87% / 13%
Grass: 96% / 4%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
24th · below avg
Return
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
50th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#4
model rank
#82
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
ARG
198cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Zverev■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-27 | Paris Masters | Hard | R32 | Alexander Zverev | 6-7(5) 6-1 7-5 |
| 2025-05-07 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Alexander Zverev | 6-2 6-1 |