── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Zverev 81% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Zverev
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
81%19%
Hard: 78% / 22%
Clay: 85% / 15%
Grass: 74% / 26%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
58th · average
Return
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
90th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#4
model rank
#33
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
ESP
198cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Zverev■ Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard4–1
Clay2–0
── 7 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-27 | Paris Masters | Hard | R16 | Alexander Zverev | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2025-04-23 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R32 | Alexander Zverev | 2-6 7-6(3) 7-6(0) |
| 2023-09-27 | Beijing | Hard | R16 | Alexander Zverev | 6-7(4) 6-2 6-1 |
| 2023-08-07 | Canada Masters | Hard | R32 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2021-05-31 | Roland Garros | Clay | QF | Alexander Zverev | 6-4 6-1 6-1 |
| 2020-10-12 | Cologne 1 | Hard | SF | Alexander Zverev | 7-5 7-6(3) |
| 2020-08-31 | Us Open | Hard | R16 | Alexander Zverev | 6-2 6-2 6-1 |