── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Zverev 89% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Zverev
Alexei Popyrin
89%11%
Hard: 91% / 9%
Clay: 87% / 13%
Grass: 82% / 18%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Alexei Popyrin
74th · strong
Return
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Alexei Popyrin
32th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#4
model rank
#75
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
AUS
198cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Zverev■ Alexei Popyrin
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–0
Clay1–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-27 | Canada Masters | Hard | QF | Alexander Zverev | 6-7(8) 6-4 6-3 |
| 2024-07-29 | Paris Olympics | Clay | R16 | Alexander Zverev | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2019-02-25 | Acapulco | Hard | R32 | Alexander Zverev | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2018-10-22 | Basel | Hard | R16 | Alexander Zverev | 6-4 6-4 |