── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Zverev 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexander Zverev
Francisco Cerundolo
77%23%
Hard: 74% / 26%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 88% / 12%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Francisco Cerundolo
64th · average
Return
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Francisco Cerundolo
97th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#4
model rank
#21
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
ARG
198cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alexander ZverevFrancisco Cerundolo
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay13
Hard40
── 8 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-13MunichClayQFAlexander Zverev5-7 6-0 6-2
2026-03-18Miami MastersHardQFAlexander Zverev6-1 6-2
2026-01-19Australian OpenHardR16Alexander Zverev6-2 6-4 6-4
2025-11-20Davis Cup Finals QF: ARG vs GERHardRRAlexander Zverev6-4 7-6(3)
2025-07-27Canada MastersHardR16Alexander Zverev6-4 1-0 RET
2025-04-23Madrid MastersClayR16Francisco Cerundolo7-5 6-3
2025-02-10Buenos AiresClayQFFrancisco Cerundolo3-6 6-3 6-2
2024-04-22Madrid MastersClayR16Francisco Cerundolo6-3 6-4