── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Zverev 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Zverev
Brandon Nakashima
77%23%
Hard: 76% / 24%
Clay: 90% / 10%
Grass: 65% / 35%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Brandon Nakashima
91th · elite
Return
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Brandon Nakashima
69th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#4
model rank
#18
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
USA
198cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Zverev■ Brandon Nakashima
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard4–0
Grass1–0
Clay1–0
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R32 | Alexander Zverev | 7-6(2) 5-7 6-4 |
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R32 | Alexander Zverev | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2025-06-09 | Stuttgart | Grass | QF | Alexander Zverev | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2024-08-26 | Us Open | Hard | R16 | Alexander Zverev | 3-6 6-1 6-2 6-2 |
| 2022-05-23 | Roland Garros | Clay | R32 | Alexander Zverev | 7-6(2) 6-3 7-6(5) |
| 2020-08-31 | Us Open | Hard | R64 | Alexander Zverev | 7-5 6-7(8) 6-3 6-1 |