── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Zverev 90% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Zverev
Jesper De Jong
90%10%
Hard: 95% / 5%
Clay: 84% / 16%
Grass: 90% / 10%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Jesper De Jong
32th · below avg
Return
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Jesper De Jong
44th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#4
model rank
#84
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
NED
198cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Zverev■ Jesper De Jong
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay3–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R16 | Alexander Zverev | 7-6(3) 6-4 6-1 |
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | R64 | Alexander Zverev | 3-6 6-1 6-2 6-3 |
| 2024-07-15 | Hamburg | Clay | R32 | Alexander Zverev | 6-2 6-2 |

