── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Zverev 90% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexander Zverev
Jesper De Jong
90%10%
Hard: 95% / 5%
Clay: 84% / 16%
Grass: 90% / 10%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Jesper De Jong
32th · below avg
Return
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Jesper De Jong
44th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#4
model rank
#84
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
NED
198cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alexander ZverevJesper De Jong
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay30
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-25Roland GarrosClayR16Alexander Zverev7-6(3) 6-4 6-1
2025-05-26Roland GarrosClayR64Alexander Zverev3-6 6-1 6-2 6-3
2024-07-15HamburgClayR32Alexander Zverev6-2 6-2