── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Zverev 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexander Zverev
Tomas Machac
82%18%
Hard: 79% / 21%
Clay: 88% / 12%
Grass: 79% / 21%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Tomas Machac
72th · strong
Return
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Tomas Machac
82th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#4
model rank
#35
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
CZE
198cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alexander ZverevTomas Machac
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-25Roland GarrosClayR64Alexander Zverev6-4 6-2 6-2
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsClayR32Alexander Zverev6-3 7-5