── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Zverev 95% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Zverev
Jacob Fearnley
95%5%
Hard: 95% / 5%
Clay: 92% / 8%
Grass: 80% / 20%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Jacob Fearnley
7th · poor
Return
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Jacob Fearnley
67th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#4
model rank
#158
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
GBR
198cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Zverev■ Jacob Fearnley
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard4–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-20 | Vienna | Hard | R32 | Alexander Zverev | 6-4 1-6 7-6(5) |
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R64 | Alexander Zverev | 6-4 6-4 6-4 |
| 2025-03-19 | Miami Masters | Hard | R64 | Alexander Zverev | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | Hard | R32 | Alexander Zverev | 6-3 6-4 6-4 |