── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Zverev 81% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Zverev
Mariano Navone
81%19%
Hard: 93% / 7%
Clay: 77% / 23%
Grass: 94% / 6%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Mariano Navone
28th · below avg
Return
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Mariano Navone
97th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#4
model rank
#32
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
ARG
198cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Zverev■ Mariano Navone
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R64 | Alexander Zverev | 6-1 3-6 6-3 |