── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Zverev 91% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Zverev
Gabriel Diallo
91%9%
Hard: 89% / 11%
Clay: 94% / 6%
Grass: 79% / 21%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Gabriel Diallo
67th · average
Return
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Gabriel Diallo
36th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#4
model rank
#92
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
CAN
198cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Zverev■ Gabriel Diallo
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Munich | Clay | R16 | Alexander Zverev | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Alexander Zverev | 6-7(1) 6-1 6-4 6-2 |