── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Zverev 90% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexander Zverev
Gabriel Diallo
90%10%
Hard: 87% / 13%
Clay: 94% / 6%
Grass: 65% / 35%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Gabriel Diallo
69th · average
Return
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Gabriel Diallo
38th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#4
model rank
#93
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
CAN
198cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alexander ZverevGabriel Diallo
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
Hard10
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-13MunichClayR16Alexander Zverev6-1 6-2
2026-01-19Australian OpenHardR128Alexander Zverev6-7(1) 6-1 6-4 6-2