── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Zverev 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexander Zverev
Luciano Darderi
82%18%
Hard: 95% / 5%
Clay: 74% / 26%
Grass: 87% / 13%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Luciano Darderi
62th · average
Return
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Luciano Darderi
74th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#4
model rank
#37
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
ITA
198cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alexander ZverevLuciano Darderi
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-06Rome MastersClayR16Luciano Darderi1-6 7-6(10) 6-0
2024-05-06Rome MastersClayR32Alexander Zverev7-6(3) 6-2