── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Zverev 85% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexander Zverev
Luciano Darderi
85%15%
Hard: 90% / 10%
Clay: 73% / 27%
Grass: 92% / 8%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Luciano Darderi
58th · average
Return
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Luciano Darderi
65th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#4
model rank
#43
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
ITA
198cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Alexander Zverev■ Luciano Darderi
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
Clay1–1
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-09-07US OpenHardR16Alexander Zverev6-2 6-2 7-6(3)
2026-05-06Rome MastersClayR16Luciano Darderi1-6 7-6(10) 6-0
2024-05-06Rome MastersClayR32Alexander Zverev7-6(3) 6-2