── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Zverev 85% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Zverev
Luciano Darderi
85%15%
Hard: 90% / 10%
Clay: 73% / 27%
Grass: 92% / 8%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Luciano Darderi
58th · average
Return
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Luciano Darderi
65th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#4
model rank
#43
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
ITA
198cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Zverev■ Luciano Darderi
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | US Open | Hard | R16 | Alexander Zverev | 6-2 6-2 7-6(3) |
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R16 | Luciano Darderi | 1-6 7-6(10) 6-0 |
| 2024-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R32 | Alexander Zverev | 7-6(3) 6-2 |
