── the model's take · model grid · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Zverev 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Zverev
Arthur Fils
64%36%
Hard: 65% / 35%
Clay: 64% / 36%
Grass: 75% / 25%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Arthur Fils
93th · elite
Return
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Arthur Fils
95th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#4
model rank
#6
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
FRA
198cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Zverev■ Arthur Fils
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
Clay2–1
Grass1–0
── 7 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | QF | Alexander Zverev | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2025-05-07 | Rome Masters | Clay | R16 | Alexander Zverev | 7-6(3) 6-1 |
| 2025-03-19 | Miami Masters | Hard | R16 | Arthur Fils | 3-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2024-10-28 | Paris Masters | Hard | R16 | Alexander Zverev | 6-4 3-6 6-3 |
| 2024-07-15 | Hamburg | Clay | F | Arthur Fils | 6-3 3-6 7-6(1) |
| 2024-06-17 | Halle | Grass | QF | Alexander Zverev | 6-7(5) 6-3 6-4 |
| 2023-07-24 | Hamburg | Clay | SF | Alexander Zverev | 6-2 6-4 |