── the model's take · model grid · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Zverev 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Zverev
Ben Shelton
60%40%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 86% / 14%
Grass: 63% / 37%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Ben Shelton
99th · elite
Return
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Ben Shelton
60th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#4
model rank
#5
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
GER
country
USA
198cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Zverev■ Ben Shelton
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard4–0
Grass1–0
Clay1–0
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | US Open | Hard | F | Alexander Zverev | 6-3 7-6(2) 5-7 6-2 |
| 2025-11-09 | Tour Finals | Hard | RR | Alexander Zverev | 6-3 7-6(6) |
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | QF | Alexander Zverev | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2025-06-09 | Stuttgart | Grass | SF | Alexander Zverev | 7-6(8) 7-6(1) |
| 2025-04-14 | Munich | Clay | F | Alexander Zverev | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2024-08-12 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | QF | Alexander Zverev | 3-6 7-6(3) 7-5 |