── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Zverev 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexander Zverev
Ben Shelton
76%24%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 86% / 14%
Grass: 56% / 44%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Ben Shelton
98th · elite
Return
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Ben Shelton
20th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#4
model rank
#18
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
GER
country
USA
198cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alexander ZverevBen Shelton
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard30
Grass10
Clay10
── 5 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-11-09Tour FinalsHardRRAlexander Zverev6-3 7-6(6)
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersHardQFAlexander Zverev6-2 6-2
2025-06-09StuttgartGrassSFAlexander Zverev7-6(8) 7-6(1)
2025-04-14MunichClayFAlexander Zverev6-2 6-4
2024-08-12Cincinnati MastersHardQFAlexander Zverev3-6 7-6(3) 7-5