── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Zverev 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexander Zverev
Learner Tien
74%26%
Hard: 72% / 28%
Clay: 88% / 12%
Grass: 84% / 16%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Learner Tien
68th · average
Return
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Learner Tien
91th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#4
model rank
#17
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
GER
country
USA
198cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alexander ZverevLearner Tien
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
Clay10
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-19Australian OpenHardQFAlexander Zverev6-3 6-7(5) 6-1 7-6(3)
2025-05-26Roland GarrosClayR128Alexander Zverev6-3 6-3 6-4
2025-02-24AcapulcoHardR16Learner Tien6-3 6-4