── the model's take · model grid · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Zverev 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Zverev
Rafael Jodar
74%26%
Hard: 82% / 18%
Clay: 66% / 34%
Grass: 89% / 11%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Rafael Jodar
76th · strong
Return
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Rafael Jodar
96th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#4
model rank
#6
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
—
GER
country
ESP
198cm
height
—
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Zverev■ Rafael Jodar
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | QF | Alexander Zverev | 7-6(3) 6-1 6-3 |