── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Martin Damm 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Martin Damm
Roberto Bautista Agut
60%40%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 29% / 71%
Grass: 39% / 61%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Martin Damm
80th · strong
Roberto Bautista Agut
37th · below avg
Return
Martin Damm
5th · poor
Roberto Bautista Agut
66th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#88
model rank
#130
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
ESP
203cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Martin Damm■ Roberto Bautista Agut
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-02MontpellierHardR16Martin Damm6-1 6-3