── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Martin Damm a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Martin Damm
Roberto Bautista Agut
54%46%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 30% / 70%
Grass: 15% / 85%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Martin Damm
82th · strong
Roberto Bautista Agut
34th · below avg
Return
Martin Damm
2th · poor
Roberto Bautista Agut
72th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#109
model rank
#122
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
ESP
203cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Martin DammRoberto Bautista Agut
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-02MontpellierHardR16Martin Damm6-1 6-3