── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Grigor Dimitrov 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Martin Damm
Grigor Dimitrov
31%69%
Hard: 26% / 74%
Clay: 18% / 82%
Grass: 10% / 90%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Martin Damm
82th · strong
Grigor Dimitrov
87th · strong
Return
Martin Damm
2th · poor
Grigor Dimitrov
80th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#109
model rank
#41
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
BUL
203cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Martin DammGrigor Dimitrov
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-12Bordeaux CHClayR32Martin Damm7-6(3) 7-6(7)