── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 81% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Martin Damm
Daniil Medvedev
19%81%
Hard: 13% / 87%
Clay: 10% / 90%
Grass: 23% / 77%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Martin Damm
80th · strong
Daniil Medvedev
82th · strong
Return
Martin Damm
5th · poor
Daniil Medvedev
98th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#88
model rank
#8
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
RUS
203cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Martin Damm■ Daniil Medvedev
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Winston-Salem | Hard | R32 | Martin Damm | 7-5 6-3 |