── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Cristian Garin a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Martin Damm
Cristian Garin
48%52%
Hard: 67% / 33%
Clay: 19% / 81%
Grass: 21% / 79%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Martin Damm
82th · strong
Cristian Garin
31th · below avg
Return
Martin Damm
2th · poor
Cristian Garin
72th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#109
model rank
#99
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
CHI
203cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Martin Damm■ Cristian Garin
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | Q2 | Martin Damm | 2-6 6-4 7-6(5) |