── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Martin Damm 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Martin Damm
Elias Ymer
69%31%
Hard: 67% / 33%
Clay: 55% / 45%
Grass: 34% / 66%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Martin Damm
82th · strong
Elias Ymer
4th · poor
Return
Martin Damm
2th · poor
Elias Ymer
14th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#109
model rank
#168
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
SWE
203cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Martin Damm■ Elias Ymer
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | Bordeaux CH | Clay | Q2 | Martin Damm | 6-3 7-5 |