── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Martin Damm 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Martin Damm
Elias Ymer
77%23%
Hard: 72% / 28%
Clay: 55% / 45%
Grass: 60% / 40%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Martin Damm
80th · strong
Elias Ymer
5th · poor
Return
Martin Damm
5th · poor
Elias Ymer
7th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#88
model rank
#182
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
SWE
203cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Martin Damm■ Elias Ymer
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | Bordeaux CH | Clay | Q2 | Martin Damm | 6-3 7-5 |