── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Martin Damm 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Martin Damm
Andrea Pellegrino
68%32%
Hard: 91% / 9%
Clay: 33% / 67%
Grass: 90% / 10%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Martin Damm
80th · strong
Andrea Pellegrino
14th · poor
Return
Martin Damm
5th · poor
Andrea Pellegrino
12th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#87
model rank
#160
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
ITA
203cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Martin Damm■ Andrea Pellegrino
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | Q1 | Martin Damm | 6-0 7-6(5) |