── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Martin Damm 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Martin Damm
Luca Nardi
71%29%
Hard: 59% / 41%
Clay: 46% / 54%
Grass: 82% / 18%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Martin Damm
80th · strong
Luca Nardi
9th · poor
Return
Martin Damm
5th · poor
Luca Nardi
33th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#87
model rank
#175
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
ITA
203cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Martin Damm■ Luca Nardi
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | Montpellier | Hard | QF | Martin Damm | 6-3 7-6(8) |