── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Martin Damm 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Martin Damm
Shintaro Mochizuki
69%31%
Hard: 70% / 30%
Clay: 54% / 46%
Grass: 33% / 67%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Martin Damm
80th · strong
Shintaro Mochizuki
0th · poor
Return
Martin Damm
5th · poor
Shintaro Mochizuki
85th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#88
model rank
#167
Hard
best surface
Grass
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
JPN
203cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Martin Damm■ Shintaro Mochizuki
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard2–1
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-09-24ChengduHardR32Martin Damm6-1 6-4
2024-08-26Us OpenHardQ1Shintaro Mochizuki6-7(7) 6-1 7-6(7)
2020-11-30M15 Santo DomingoHardR32Martin Damm6-3 6-7(10) 6-3