── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Daniel Merida Aguilar 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Martin Damm
Daniel Merida Aguilar
30%70%
Hard: 29% / 71%
Clay: 17% / 83%
Grass: 73% / 27%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Martin Damm
80th · strong
Daniel Merida Aguilar
39th · below avg
Return
Martin Damm
5th · poor
Daniel Merida Aguilar
89th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#87
model rank
#31
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
ESP
203cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Martin Damm■ Daniel Merida Aguilar
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-06-15Queen's ClubGrassQ1Martin Damm6-3 6-2