── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Casper Ruud 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Stan Wawrinka
Casper Ruud
16%84%
Hard: 39% / 61%
Clay: 8% / 92%
Grass: 75% / 25%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Stan Wawrinka
67th · average
Casper Ruud
93th · elite
Return
Stan Wawrinka
21th · below avg
Casper Ruud
94th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#116
model rank
#11
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
SUI
country
NOR
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Stan Wawrinka■ Casper Ruud
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-20 | Basel | Hard | R16 | Casper Ruud | 6-4 7-6(5) |
| 2022-10-24 | Basel | Hard | R32 | Stan Wawrinka | 6-4 6-4 |