── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexei Popyrin 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Stan Wawrinka
Alexei Popyrin
40%60%
Hard: 61% / 39%
Clay: 29% / 71%
Grass: 67% / 33%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Stan Wawrinka
67th · average
Alexei Popyrin
74th · strong
Return
Stan Wawrinka
21th · below avg
Alexei Popyrin
32th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#116
model rank
#75
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
SUI
country
AUS
183cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Stan Wawrinka■ Alexei Popyrin
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–2
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-29 | Aix-en-Provence CH | Clay | R16 | Stan Wawrinka | 6-3 3-6 6-1 |
| 2024-07-29 | Paris Olympics | Clay | R32 | Alexei Popyrin | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2023-07-24 | Umag | Clay | F | Alexei Popyrin | 6-7(5) 6-3 6-4 |