── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Arthur Gea 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Stan Wawrinka
Arthur Gea
25%75%
Hard: 25% / 75%
Clay: 64% / 36%
Grass: 70% / 30%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Stan Wawrinka
69th · average
Arthur Gea
44th · average
Return
Stan Wawrinka
16th · poor
Arthur Gea
84th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#128
model rank
#33
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
SUI
country
FRA
183cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Stan Wawrinka■ Arthur Gea
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R64 | Stan Wawrinka | 4-6 6-3 3-6 7-5 7-6(3) |