── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

Not enough rating data for a read.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Rafael Nadal
insufficient data
Alex De Minaur
77th · strong
Return
Rafael Nadal
insufficient data
Alex De Minaur
98th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

model rank
#8
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
ESP
country
AUS
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Rafael NadalAlex De Minaur
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay11
Hard21
Grass10
── 6 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2024-04-22Madrid MastersClayR64Rafael Nadal7-6(6) 6-3
2024-04-15BarcelonaClayR32Alex De Minaur7-5 6-1
2023-01-02United CupHardRRAlex De Minaur3-6 6-1 7-5
2020-01-06Atp CupHardSFRafael Nadal4-6 7-5 6-1
2019-01-14Australian OpenHardR32Rafael Nadal6-1 6-2 6-4
2018-07-02WimbledonGrassR32Rafael Nadal6-1 6-2 6-4