── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Brandon Nakashima 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Richard Gasquet
Brandon Nakashima
26%74%
Hard: 24% / 76%
Clay: 40% / 60%
Grass: 30% / 70%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Richard Gasquet
36th · below avg
Brandon Nakashima
89th · strong
Return
Richard Gasquet
37th · below avg
Brandon Nakashima
46th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#132
model rank
#42
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
USA
183cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Richard GasquetBrandon Nakashima
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass01
Hard12
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2024-06-10StuttgartGrassR16Brandon Nakashima6-3 6-4
2023-10-23Brest CHHardR32Brandon Nakashima6-1 6-4
2023-08-21Winston-SalemHardR16Richard Gasquet2-6 6-4 6-4
2022-10-10FlorenceHardR32Brandon Nakashima6-2 6-2