── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Gael Monfils
Felix Auger Aliassime
22%78%
Hard: 25% / 75%
Clay: 21% / 79%
Grass: 40% / 60%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Gael Monfils
60th · average
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Return
Gael Monfils
73th · strong
Felix Auger Aliassime
81th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#73
model rank
#9
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
CAN
193cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Gael MonfilsFelix Auger Aliassime
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersHardR64Felix Auger Aliassime6-7(5) 6-3 6-4
2020-02-10RotterdamHardFGael Monfils6-2 6-4