── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Gael Monfils
Felix Auger Aliassime
24%76%
Hard: 30% / 70%
Clay: 21% / 79%
Grass: 30% / 70%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Gael Monfils
62th · average
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Return
Gael Monfils
72th · strong
Felix Auger Aliassime
76th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#73
model rank
#11
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
CAN
193cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Gael Monfils■ Felix Auger Aliassime
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–1
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersHardR64Felix Auger Aliassime6-7(5) 6-3 6-4
2020-02-10RotterdamHardFGael Monfils6-2 6-4