── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Gael Monfils a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Gael Monfils
Sebastian Baez
51%49%
Hard: 66% / 34%
Clay: 33% / 67%
Grass: 81% / 19%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Gael Monfils
60th · average
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Return
Gael Monfils
73th · strong
Sebastian Baez
85th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#73
model rank
#77
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
ARG
193cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Gael Monfils■ Sebastian Baez
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-02 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R64 | Gael Monfils | 6-3 4-6 6-4 |
| 2023-05-29 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Gael Monfils | 3-6 6-3 7-5 1-6 7-5 |