Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic
9–5
head to head
Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev
── the model's take · model grid · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Novak Djokovic 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Novak Djokovic
Alexander Zverev
56%44%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 46% / 54%
Grass: 89% / 11%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Novak Djokovic
99th · elite
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Return
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#3
model rank
#4
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
SRB
country
GER
188cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Novak Djokovic■ Alexander Zverev
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay2–1
Hard7–4
── 14 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosClayQFNovak Djokovic4-6 6-3 6-2 6-4
2025-01-13Australian OpenHardSFAlexander Zverev7-6(5) 0-0 RET
2023-08-14Cincinnati MastersHardSFNovak Djokovic7-6(5) 7-5
2021-11-15Tour FinalsHardSFAlexander Zverev7-6(4) 4-6 6-3
2021-08-30Us OpenHardSFNovak Djokovic4-6 6-2 6-4 4-6 6-2
2021-07-24Tokyo OlympicsHardSFAlexander Zverev1-6 6-3 6-1
2021-02-08Australian OpenHardQFNovak Djokovic6-7(6) 6-2 6-4 7-6(6)
2021-02-02Atp CupHardRRNovak Djokovic6-7(3) 6-2 7-5
2020-11-16Tour FinalsHardRRNovak Djokovic6-3 7-6(4)
2019-05-27Roland GarrosClayQFNovak Djokovic7-5 6-2 6-2
2018-11-12Tour FinalsHardRRNovak Djokovic6-4 6-1
2018-11-12Tour FinalsHardFAlexander Zverev6-4 6-3
2018-10-08Shanghai MastersHardSFNovak Djokovic6-2 6-1
2017-05-15Rome MastersClayFAlexander Zverev6-4 6-3