Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic
21–2
head to head
Marin CilicMarin Cilic
── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Novak Djokovic 91% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Novak Djokovic
Marin Cilic
91%9%
Hard: 90% / 10%
Clay: 92% / 8%
Grass: 87% / 13%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite
Marin Cilic
77th · strong
Return
Novak Djokovic
97th · elite
Marin Cilic
43th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#3
model rank
#83
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
SRB
country
CRO
188cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Novak Djokovic■ Marin Cilic
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard16–1
Clay3–0
Grass2–1
── 23 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersHardR64Novak Djokovic7-6(2) 6-4
2022-09-26Tel AvivHardFNovak Djokovic6-3 6-4
2021-12-03Davis Cup Finals SF: CRO vs SRBHardRRNovak Djokovic6-4 6-2
2019-05-06Madrid MastersClayQFNovak DjokovicW/O
2018-11-12Tour FinalsHardRRNovak Djokovic7-6(7) 6-2
2018-10-29Paris MastersHardQFNovak Djokovic4-6 6-2 6-3
2018-08-13Cincinnati MastersHardSFNovak Djokovic6-4 3-6 6-3
2018-06-18Queen's ClubGrassFMarin Cilic5-7 7-6(4) 6-3
2016-10-31Paris MastersHardQFMarin Cilic6-4 7-6(2)
2015-08-31US OpenHardSFNovak Djokovic6-0 6-1 6-2
2015-06-29WimbledonGrassQFNovak Djokovic6-4 6-4 6-4
2015-04-12Monte Carlo MastersClayQFNovak Djokovic6-0 6-3
2014-11-09Tour FinalsHardRRNovak Djokovic6-1 6-1
2014-06-23WimbledonGrassQFNovak Djokovic6-1 3-6 6-7(4) 6-2 6-2
2014-05-26Roland GarrosClayR32Novak Djokovic6-3 6-2 6-7(2) 6-4
2014-03-06Indian Wells MastersHardR16Novak Djokovic1-6 6-2 6-3
2012-08-12Cincinnati MastersHardQFNovak Djokovic6-3 6-2
2011-08-08Canada MastersHardR16Novak Djokovic7-5 6-2
2010-07-09Davis Cup WG QF: CRO vs SRBHardRRNovak Djokovic6-3 6-3 6-2
2009-10-05BeijingHardFNovak Djokovic6-2 7-6(4)
2009-02-23DubaiHardQFNovak Djokovic6-3 6-4
2008-08-25US OpenHardR32Novak Djokovic6-7(7) 7-5 6-4 7-6(0)
2008-03-03DubaiHardR32Novak Djokovic6-4 6-3